Predicting tweet impact using a novel evidential reasoning prediction method

RES: A Relative Method for Evidential Reasoning

In this paper we describe a novel method for evidential reasoning [1]. It involves mod­ elling the process of evidential reasoning in three steps, namely, evidence structure con­ struction, evidence accumulation, and deci­ sion making. The proposed method, called 'RfS, is novel in that evidence strength is associated with an evidential support relationship (an argu­ ment) between a pair of stat...

Environmental impact assessment using the evidential reasoning approach

Environmental impact assessment (EIA) problems are often characterised by a large number of identified environmental factors that are qualitative in nature and can only be assessed on the basis of human judgments, which inevitably involve various types of uncertainties such as ignorance and fuzziness. So, EIA problems need to be modelled and analysed using methods that can handle uncertainties....

Evidential Reasoning in a Network Usage Prediction Testbed

Ronald P. Loui* Rockwell Science Center Palo Alto 444 High Street Palo Alto, CA 94301 [email protected] This paper reports on empirical work aimed at comparing evidential reasoning techniques. While there is prima facie evidence for some conclusions, this is work in progress; the present focus is methodology, with the goal that subsequent results be meaningful. The domain is a network of U...

Evidential Reasoning

We consider the problem of inference on the basis of observations. Suppose Alice has two coins, F (with probability 1/2 of landing heads) and B (with probability 3/4 of landing heads). She chooses a coin, tosses it, and it lands heads. How likely was the coin to be F? How likely was it to be B? Suppose she tosses the coin 100 times, and it lands heads every time. How likely was it to be F? How ...

Dynamic evidential reasoning algorithm for systems reliability prediction